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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
SELL Yes @ 53¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet mombil took Yes (sell) for $10.6k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- May 07, 16:38 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mombil
- Tx
- 0xe8bca43a…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+0.9 pts
expected 8.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.4k | excluded |