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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$14.6k
SELL No @ 97¢ · 15,026 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports

What happened

Wallet AWice took No (sell) for $14.6k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
3.0%
As American odds
+3233 no vig
Size
$14.6k
Placed
Jul 06, 07:15 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 01:08 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AWice
Tx
0xe822c610…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-17.5 pts
expected 1.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -3 pts
No price · entry 97¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97¢ · $14.6k WHALE $14.6K @ 97¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $13.4k99% The-Joker110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ $20.2k97% blkmont110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ $11.7k97% thefakenick110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $13.2k97% 0x4e8b…05bd110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $89.9k97% 0x2233…cb7e110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ $11.0k97% 7ViziCapitale110d agocalled