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Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $39.6k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.2 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed$39.6k
BUY Patriots @ 49¢ · 80,824 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet c4c4 took Patriots (buy) for $39.6k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Seahawks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $39.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $39.6k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 20:24 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 18:30 EST
- Result
- Seahawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- c4c4
- Tx
- 0xe76dff44…
This wallet's graded record
14/20+8.2 pts
expected 12.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsPatriots price · entry 49¢ · resolved Seahawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $32.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $48.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $16.5k | excluded |