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What this means. A wallet put $18.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.9k
SELL No @ 94.4¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet shy-hashman took No (sell) for $18.9k at an average 94.4¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.4¢
- Implied odds
- 5.6%
- Size
- $18.9k
- Placed
- Feb 04, 12:42 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- shy-hashman
- Tx
- 0xe3febf36…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+10.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |