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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$10.5k
BUY Yes @ 98¢ · 10,701 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet tsekinming01 took Yes (buy) for $10.5k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.5k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98¢
Implied odds
98.0%
Size
$10.5k
Placed
Jan 21, 18:50 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsekinming01
Tx
0xe2f3223a…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
Yes price · entry 98¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98¢ · $10.5k WHALE $10.5K @ 98¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $55.0k
2.8× usual
0% tianjiyuyunzhilu268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $139.9k
4.0× usual
0% pako268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% Treadmilled268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% toytrucks268d agoexcluded