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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?missed
$10.1k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 20,160 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Casablanca10 took Yes (buy) for $10.1k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Apr 02, 05:24 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Casablanca10
Tx
0xe1a5b074…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-31.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $13.8k100% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN176d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $15.1k100% C03B176d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $10.4k0% 0x9631…89a1176d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $17.5k95% C03B177d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW SELL No @ 93.2¢ $10.0k7% Istaroth177d agomissed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ $19.1k3% Istaroth177d agomissed