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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL No @ 93.2¢ · 10,783 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet Istaroth took No (sell) for $10.0k at an average 93.2¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93.2¢
- Implied odds
- 6.8%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 12:32 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Istaroth
- Tx
- 0x0e18549d…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-8.0 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsNo price · entry 93.2¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $19.1k | missed |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $18.8k | excluded |