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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -21.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
SELL Yes @ 52¢ · 22,823 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet denizz took Yes (sell) for $11.8k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 48.2%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Apr 13, 08:41 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- denizz
- Tx
- 0xdffd5dcb…
This wallet's graded record
7/24-21.7 pts
expected 12.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |