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What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.5 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded
$12.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 12,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet scottilicious took Yes (sell) for $12.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$12.3k
Placed
Apr 23, 20:38 EDT
Market close
Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
scottilicious
Tx
0x8c1aa322…
This wallet's graded record
23/26+1.5 pts
expected 22.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% Valen9182d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.5k0% 0x0009…1d43182d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $40.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% 0x3589…1dcc NEW183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% flying-wheel183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% flying-wheel184d agoexcluded