← Live flags
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $130.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded$130.9k
BUY No @ 33¢ · 396,657 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took No (buy) for $130.9k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $130.9k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $130.9k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 15:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x709e…66f5
- Tx
- 0xdfcb4bc2…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -33 ptsNo price · entry 33¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $297.5k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded |