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What this means. A wallet put $18.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?excluded
$18.7k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 18,724 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet 0x1461…22d8 took No (sell) for $18.7k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$18.7k
Placed
Feb 25, 18:26 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x1461…22d8
Tx
0xde356736…
This wallet's graded record
5/6-2.0 pts
expected 5.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $18.7k WHALE $18.7K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $82.2k0% HandsomeLi239d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $87.0k100% Uptober-088240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $11.9k100% Trump2028244d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $10.2k1% gorovi245d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $19.4k99% 0x8b4b…541b PROVEN247d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $60.9k
2.3× usual
99% pwnatorul249d agoexcluded