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Uptober-088

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?+$0No · avg 93.7¢ → 93.9¢ · $10
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$377.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$573
Last 30 days +$1 · $1.06M volume · 469 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$633
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$60
Closed-position win rate
93%
102 closed
Wallet age · markets
753d
104 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $24.2k0% 235d agoexcluded
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $88.9k100% 237d agoexcluded
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $82.9k100% 240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $87.0k100% 240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $94.0k100% 240d agoexcluded

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