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What this means. A wallet put $147.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$147.5k
BUY No @ 99.1¢ · 148,742 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet HorribleWork took No (buy) for $147.5k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $147.5k+2
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11483American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 99.1%
- Size
- $147.5k
- Placed
- Apr 15, 18:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 10, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- HorribleWork
- Tx
- 0xdcab94e4…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.6 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $80.3k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $99.7k | excluded |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $265.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |