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Lions vs. Panthersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $23.8k on not Lions, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.8k
SELL Lions @ 58¢ · 41,040 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Lions (sell) for $23.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Panthers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $23.8k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 22:02 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Panthers
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0xdc0c9c11…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Panthers @ 79¢ | $76.9k 3.6× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Panthers @ 81¢ | $102.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Lions @ 19¢ | $17.1k | excluded |