← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.0k
BUY No @ 86¢ · 15,092 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x3115…61d5 took No (buy) for $13.0k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−608American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 85.9%
- Size
- $13.0k
- Placed
- Mar 18, 08:18 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3115…61d5
- Tx
- 0xdbbdfa8f…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+12.6 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $12.3k | called |