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Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $121.6k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5excluded$121.6k
SELL Over @ 99.9¢ · 121,721 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Winnerdinnerchickenjr took Over (sell) for $121.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $121.6k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $121.6k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 22:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Winnerdinnerchickenjr
- Tx
- 0xda5304e8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $27.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $118.6k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $49.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $30.8k | excluded |