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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$26.6k

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?

UpTheBlues bought No at 89¢. The price gave that side a 89% chance. 29,926 shares, Oct 28, 16:39 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $26.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet UpTheBlues bought No for $26.6k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied 89% for the side they took. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -22.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $26.6k+1
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2× this wallet's usual betSports
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +11 pts
No price · entry 89¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 89¢ · $26.6k WHALE $26.6K @ 89¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
What will Aston Villa do without Zion Suzuki for most of January?The New York Times · Google News · 3h agoI understand Unai Emery's approach to the League Cup, but Aston Villa have missed an opportunityYahoo Sports · Google News · 3h ago(LIVESTREAMs)! Aston Villa vs Bournemouth FA Cup Soccer 𝐋𝐈𝐕𝐄 Ｆ ｒｅｅ 𝐒𝐭𝐑𝐞𝐀𝐦 on 27 October 2026Vantage Data Centers · Google News · 18h ago‍√#[["LIVESTREAM"]]HQ!!] Bournemouth vs Aston Villa EFL Cup Live Stream FreeVantage Data Centers · Google News · 18h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?MED BUY No @ 93.6¢ $139.4k
8.9× usual
94% Flaznorp17h agoExcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ $16.4k27% plonker202619h agoExcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?Excluded
BUY No @ 93.6¢$139.4k
MED Flaznorp · 17h ago
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?Excluded
BUY Yes @ 27¢$16.4k
LOW plonker2026 · 19h ago