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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$139.4k

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?

Flaznorp bought No at 93.6¢. The price gave that side a 94% chance. 148,966 shares, 4 fills, Oct 28, 16:54 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $139.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp bought No for $139.4k at an average 93.6¢. At that price the market implied 94% for the side they took. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -27.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $139.4k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)8.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1465American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +6 pts
No price · entry 93.6¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 93.6¢ · $139.4k WHALE $139.4K @ 93.6¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $26.6k
2.0× usual
89% UpTheBlues17h agoExcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ $16.4k27% plonker202619h agoExcluded