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What this means. A wallet put $51.8k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Lakersexcluded
$51.8k
SELL Thunder @ 58¢ · 88,664 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)3.5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet ComingBack took Thunder (sell) for $51.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $51.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
41.6%
As American odds
+140 no vig
Size
$51.8k
Placed
May 12, 00:43 EDT
Market close
May 11, 22:30 EDT
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ComingBack
Tx
0xd73c0616…
This wallet's graded record
6/7-4.7 pts
expected 6.3 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Thunder vs. LakersLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $19.3k0% bwho165d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. LakersLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $31.9k0% sjqdhqsjgd65165d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. LakersLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $22.1k0% 0x38c2…d3a7165d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. LakersLOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ $127.7k
5.0× usual
99% 08AF165d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. LakersLOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ $47.2k99% 0x2a2c…9bc1165d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. LakersLOW SELL Thunder @ 96¢ $19.0k4% kahe165d agoexcluded