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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.4k
BUY No @ 96¢ · 18,160 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet IlIIllIIIllIIl took No (buy) for $17.4k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- Size
- $17.4k
- Placed
- Feb 02, 08:54 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- IlIIllIIIllIIl
- Tx
- 0xd40ecc5c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-95.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |