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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 11,091 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet gateway- took No (sell) for $10.2k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Mar 29, 14:13 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gateway-
- Tx
- 0xd3dac409…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-8.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -8 ptsNo price · entry 92¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 9.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $97.4k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |