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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.1k
BUY No @ 92.5¢ · 13,042 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet wigglew took No (buy) for $12.1k at an average 92.5¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92.5¢
- Implied odds
- 92.5%
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- May 20, 18:05 EDT
- Market close
- May 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wigglew
- Tx
- 0xd2c196b5…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-0.1 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +8 ptsNo price · entry 92.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $75.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |