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What this means. A wallet put $83.6k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.4 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$83.6k
BUY Argentina @ 76¢ · 110,376 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet3.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0F62 took Argentina (buy) for $83.6k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $83.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−312American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 75.8%
- As American odds
- −312 no vig
- Size
- $83.6k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 20:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0F62
- Tx
- 0xd1cc4774…
This wallet's graded record
30/33+6.4 pts
expected 27.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsArgentina price · entry 76¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $189.2k 11.9× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |