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What this means. A wallet put $22.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.3k
BUY No @ 99¢ · 22,500 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0x67bc…d54e took No (buy) for $22.3k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 99.0%
- Size
- $22.3k
- Placed
- Feb 07, 05:44 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 09:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x67bc…d54e
- Tx
- 0xd1a41d76…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.2k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $87.1k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |