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What this means. A wallet put $93.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$93.7k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 161,579 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Yes (buy) for $93.7k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $93.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $93.7k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 12:30 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0xd1481873…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $91.0k 4.3× usual |
excluded |