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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.6k
BUY No @ 77¢ · 15,006 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet CiaoBilly took No (buy) for $11.6k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−335American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 77.0%
- Size
- $11.6k
- Placed
- Feb 15, 04:52 EST
- Market close
- May 08, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CiaoBilly
- Tx
- 0xd124fdd8…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $138.2k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $106.5k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.2k | excluded |