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What this means. A wallet put $21.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.9k
SELL No @ 97.1¢ · 22,568 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xad96…d498 took No (sell) for $21.9k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.1¢
- Implied odds
- 2.9%
- Size
- $21.9k
- Placed
- May 17, 00:16 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xad96…d498
- Tx
- 0xd0a7d622…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+10.1 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.8k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $128.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |