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What this means. A wallet put $21.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?excluded
$21.3k
SELL No @ 97.7¢ · 21,796 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet anoin123 took No (sell) for $21.3k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97.7¢
Implied odds
2.3%
Size
$21.3k
Placed
Mar 12, 12:04 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
anoin123
Tx
0xcea02110…
This wallet's graded record
3/19+0.9 pts
expected 2.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k100% Car206d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.6k0% Outsid3rTrading206d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN206d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $58.5k100% elmcap2207d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% QMG-CORE208d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $66.5k100% CAR-GangVersion208d agoexcluded