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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 13,033 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet b82a977feb7ffc took No (buy) for $12.9k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- May 12, 23:58 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- b82a977feb7ffc
- Tx
- 0xcd23e725…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-26.9 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $58.4k | excluded |