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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +33.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+33.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$54.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$18.4k
Last 30 days +$5 · $451.1k volume · 1,121 trades · since Feb 26, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$11.7k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$245
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
240d
673 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +33.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $12.2k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc90d66…