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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?excluded
$10.1k
SELL No @ 99¢ · 10,186 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet emcor took No (sell) for $10.1k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99¢
Implied odds
1.0%
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Feb 25, 10:50 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
emcor
Tx
0xcc595286…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-6.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.2k0% XiJinpingCexo241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% 0xf30d…c9d0241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $31.8k100% Frenzalrhomb241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $104.1k
2.4× usual
0% 0xd054…7e38241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $42.1k
2.1× usual
0% Ingg241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $169.8k
4.2× usual
100% onekey09241d agoexcluded