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What this means. A wallet put $70.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 70,030 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet debased took Yes (buy) for $70.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $70.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $70.0k
- Placed
- May 04, 12:46 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- debased
- Tx
- 0xcbeac40b…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $106.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $63.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.9¢ | $13.8k | excluded |