← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $42.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.0k
BUY No @ 42¢ · 100,000 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet athelstan took No (buy) for $42.0k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $42.0k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $42.0k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 00:57 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 13, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- athelstan
- Tx
- 0xcbea597e…
This wallet's graded record
5/10+21.5 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +58 ptsNo price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $52.7k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $90.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |