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What this means. A wallet put $21.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.4k
BUY No @ 80¢ · 26,853 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet yungstalin took No (buy) for $21.4k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−389American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.5%
- Size
- $21.4k
- Placed
- May 20, 11:16 EDT
- Market close
- May 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- yungstalin
- Tx
- 0xcbe253eb…
This wallet's graded record
14/19+6.4 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsNo price · entry 80¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |