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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?called
$11.2k
SELL Yes @ 70¢ · 16,020 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0xe3ba…9e00 took Yes (sell) for $11.2k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
70¢
Implied odds
30.0%
Size
$11.2k
Placed
Mar 06, 13:10 EST
Market close
Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xe3ba…9e00
Tx
0xc8a5e657…
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.0× usual
0% Trump2028297d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.3k0% Kevindoto297d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $45.0k
2.4× usual
100% TeemuPukki297d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% hollyber297d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.7k100% 0x7ae4…daf6297d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Alexparker297d agoexcluded