← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $34.1k on Canada, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.1k
BUY Canada @ 75¢ · 45,420 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet MD14 took Canada (buy) for $34.1k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Canada, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $34.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Canada wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.0%
- As American odds
- −300 no vig
- Size
- $34.1k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 11:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 28, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Canada
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MD14
- Tx
- 0xc5eb04d4…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+25.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsCanada price · entry 75¢ · resolved Canada
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Canada @ 97.9¢ | $26.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Canada @ 66¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | MED BUY South Africa @ 30¢ | $41.6k | excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Canada @ 72¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | LOW SELL South Africa @ 29¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | MED BUY Canada @ 72¢ | $219.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded |