← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 10,677 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet fearthereaper7 took No (sell) for $10.7k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Feb 23, 22:24 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- fearthereaper7
- Tx
- 0xc3fc6d1d…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+88.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $77.7k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.01M 26.3× usual |
excluded |