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What this means. A wallet put $21.4k on France, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.4k
BUY France @ 59¢ · 36,281 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x3fe2…56e9 took France (buy) for $21.4k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $21.4k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 09:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3fe2…56e9
- Tx
- 0xc24aea24…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-26.1 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -59 ptsFrance price · entry 59¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ | $51.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |