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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 12,504 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet 0x0e19…1061 took No (buy) for $12.2k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4346American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Jan 16, 04:09 EST
- Market close
- Jan 17, 02:47 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x0e19…1061
- Tx
- 0xc1c53cd1…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $45.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.9k | excluded |