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What this means. A wallet put $49.2k on Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.2k
BUY Natus Vincere @ 36¢ · 136,277 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet arlanta took Natus Vincere (buy) for $49.2k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Spirit. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.2k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+177American odds
$1.00paid per share if Natus Vincere wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 36.1%
- As American odds
- +177 no vig
- Size
- $49.2k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 14:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 11, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Spirit
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- arlanta
- Tx
- 0xbf2f9b3f…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-34.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -36 ptsNatus Vincere price · entry 36¢ · resolved Spirit
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY Spirit @ 96.1¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW SELL Spirit @ 63¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | MED BUY Spirit @ 65¢ | $60.2k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY Spirit @ 64¢ | $16.3k | called |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY Spirit @ 64¢ | $19.8k | called |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 37¢ | $14.9k | missed |