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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -5.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-5.5 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$179.7k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$762.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $19.47M volume · 24,354 trades · since Jun 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4.32M
Open P&L · 161 positions
−$3.52M
Closed-position win rate
96%
236 closed
Wallet age · markets
143d
396 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 2.2 | -5.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | LOW BUY BIG @ 50¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | LOW BUY MIBR @ 48¢ | $11.1k | called |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY Legacy @ 42¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 56¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY MOUZ @ 55¢ | $11.3k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 83¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY Spirit @ 64¢ | $16.3k | called |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 55¢ | $20.1k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x73e3fe…