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What this means. A wallet put $27.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.1k
SELL Yes @ 54¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet martingaleking took Yes (sell) for $27.1k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 45.7%
- Size
- $27.1k
- Placed
- May 24, 09:58 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- martingaleking
- Tx
- 0xbeaecaf7…
This wallet's graded record
4/8-15.5 pts
expected 5.2 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.4k | excluded |