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What this means. A wallet put $162.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$162.0k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 162,860 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet scout took No (buy) for $162.0k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $162.0k+2
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $162.0k
- Placed
- Nov 26, 06:50 EST
- Market close
- Nov 27, 19:33 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scout
- Tx
- 0xbe80844d…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $74.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |