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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
$15.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet classified took No (sell) for $15.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Nov 27, 16:28 EST
Market close
Nov 27, 19:33 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
classified
Tx
0x7e8a2bc2…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-16.0 pts
expected 4.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $35.6k0% debased330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $74.9k
2.1× usual
0% tsybka330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% aenews2 LOSING330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.2k100% tsybka330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k100% debased330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Ordon330d agoexcluded