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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?called
$13.1k
BUY Yes @ 39¢ · 33,541 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet AllByMyseIf took Yes (buy) for $13.1k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
39¢
Implied odds
39.0%
Size
$13.1k
Placed
May 11, 04:16 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AllByMyseIf
Tx
0xbd6cd5d1…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+1.5 pts
expected 4.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% doQysuW7L9-U6xMX8Qgv128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $134.9k
2.7× usual
0% Ordon128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 0xcf19…6402128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% 2Sherlock128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% 0x3670…34f9128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $110.4k100% farminglabs128d agoexcluded