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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.4k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 32,785 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet barndoor3 took No (buy) for $17.4k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $17.4k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- Size
- $17.4k
- Placed
- Sep 08, 07:38 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- barndoor3
- Tx
- 0xbc960ee7…
This wallet's graded record
7/7+40.7 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |