← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
SELL No @ 65¢ · 16,298 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $10.6k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 34.8%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Aug 23, 01:42 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xbc10b76d…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 91.2¢ | $41.0k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $13.7k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $10.3k | called |