← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
SELL No @ 85¢ · 12,537 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $10.6k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 15.4%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Mar 25, 16:42 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xba7fe470…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -15 ptsNo price · entry 85¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $12.3k | called |