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Heat vs. Hornetscalled
What this means. A wallet put $25.4k on Hornets, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It won. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Heat vs. Hornetscalled$25.4k
BUY Hornets @ 71¢ · 35,816 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet thestupidmoney took Hornets (buy) for $25.4k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Hornets, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hornets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 71.0%
- As American odds
- −245 no vig
- Size
- $25.4k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 13:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Hornets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thestupidmoney
- Tx
- 0xb914f25b…
This wallet's graded record
6/13+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +29 ptsHornets price · entry 71¢ · resolved Hornets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | MED SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $732.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $153.4k 6.1× usual |
excluded |