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Heat vs. Hornetsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $70.7k on not Hornets, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.7k
SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ · 70,786 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x8a6c…0b3f took Hornets (sell) for $70.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Hornets. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $70.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $70.7k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 22:26 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Hornets
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x8a6c…0b3f
- Tx
- 0x01c63ed9…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-29.0 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $732.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $153.4k 6.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $67.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |